Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.199512 0.225140 0.252258 0.283033 0.316932 0.353076 0.394470
2025-07-13 0.166602 0.201450 0.240444 0.287115 0.341246 0.401839 0.474574
2025-07-20 0.145282 0.186447 0.234762 0.295224 0.368395 0.453596 0.559781
2025-07-27 0.126366 0.171227 0.226198 0.297775 0.387686 0.496012 0.635417
2025-08-03 0.112967 0.160790 0.221706 0.303859 0.410475 0.542766 0.717739
2025-08-10 0.103007 0.153362 0.219799 0.312265 0.435780 0.593050 0.806073
2025-08-17 0.091164 0.141898 0.211180 0.310595 0.447120 0.625271 0.872045
2025-08-24 0.081623 0.132502 0.204266 0.310206 0.459441 0.658578 0.940067
2025-08-31 0.073313 0.123930 0.197570 0.309235 0.470338 0.689825 1.005940
2025-09-07 0.068046 0.119337 0.196068 0.315246 0.490861 0.734533 1.091263
2025-09-14 0.061961 0.112799 0.191025 0.315475 0.502746 0.767310 1.160871
2025-09-21 0.056611 0.106872 0.186343 0.315715 0.514312 0.799683 1.230622
2025-09-28 0.051469 0.100943 0.181421 0.315583 0.525788 0.833115 1.304326
2025-10-05 0.047647 0.096879 0.179131 0.319317 0.543152 0.875652 1.392597
2025-10-12 0.045085 0.094772 0.179841 0.327778 0.568060 0.930125 1.500075
2025-10-19 0.041718 0.090835 0.177115 0.330341 0.583651 0.971000 1.588562
2025-10-26 0.039320 0.088457 0.176845 0.336860 0.605687 1.022268 1.694096
2025-11-02 0.037520 0.087040 0.178114 0.345963 0.632167 1.081125 1.812802
2025-11-09 0.034291 0.082433 0.173260 0.344105 0.640372 1.111574 1.888620
2025-11-16 0.031563 0.078545 0.169396 0.343660 0.650748 1.145588 1.970743
2025-11-23 0.029011 0.074739 0.165365 0.342591 0.659865 1.177692 2.050585
2025-11-30 0.027575 0.073199 0.165547 0.349140 0.682236 1.231780 2.166613
2025-12-07 0.025551 0.070121 0.162460 0.349387 0.693518 1.267958 2.254824